More significance message emanating from installation of Togadia is on the issue of continuation of Amit Shah as the BJP chief beyond June 2018. All three posts cannot be allocated to the same state is obvious. It may make political observers to have a second look at their assessments of political developments in the year. The Prime Minister was preparing the party for the state elections in seven states including three small states in the North East. But significant battles were to be in Karnataka in February and three Hindi belt states, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh before the year end.

The message from the Gujarat results was not very encouraging for the four state elections due in the year. The Congress upturned all BJP calculation by bagging 70 of 123 rural seats. The party could reach the uncomfortable tally of 99 only because it could bag 46 of 59 urban seats. It could thus get into power corridors for yet another term but reduced to its original base among the urban middle class. The Prime Minister could arouse sentiments of urban voters with appeal for the Gujarat pride.

The unprecedented numbers in Uttar Pradesh with overwhelming rural population does not provide comfort for the next round. The rural populations in four states are completely different in their approach and attitude from the caste ridden thinking in Uttar Pradesh The rural population is consolidated political factor that enabled Mulayam Singh Yadav to dominate in the state politics. But rural population in three Hindi belt states is not politically organized. If the Congress can win them by playing the anti incumbency factor as three states have the BJP governments, it can be a catastrophe five month prior to the Lok Sabha polls.

But the Sangh Parivar may pretend not to interfere in routine affairs of its political wing the BJP. Yet it needs to be noted that it had swayed the circumstance in acceptance of Narendra Modi as the potential candidate for the BJP in 2013 by asking Lal Krishna Advani to step down from his opposition to propos name of NaMo. The political science and readings of human nature suggests that the Sangh Parivar would not want to take risk with NaMo with acceptance for a second term without assuring itself that he would accept the Sangh Parivar dictates unlike in his first term.

Mohan Bhagwat had directly suggested in January 2015 that Namo ought to initiate the construction of the Ram temple. Even Pratinidhi Sabha of the Sangh had adopted a resolution for the temple construction. Response of the Prime Minister was total silence. He did not change his stated priority of toilets before the temple. Not only that but he also did not relent on his carrying forward the Gandhian message. It was not an acceptable thought for the Sangh Parivar.

His sudden and drastic economic measure of demonetisation had directly hit the middle class, traditional vote bank of the BJP. The unprecedented victory in Uttar Pradesh state polls in April 2017 was discomforting for the Sangh Parivar as it indicated that he was shifting the vote base of the party from the urban middle class constituted of high castes to the Other Backward Classes and also among the Muslims and both were not factors in reckoning of the Sangh Parivar.

The Prime Minister Narendra Modi had also indicated from the style of campaign and also subsequently after taking over as the Prime Minister that he was a loner who preferred to stand away and above all others. He preferred to work through the administrative structure instead of through party. Not only in the elections, he refused to share platform with other party leaders but also in his road shows, no other leader was allowed a place near him or on his vehicle. Even access to him was closed as he preferred to deal through social media.

He was slowed down in his drive for rapid industrialisation with the front sops clearly opposing his move to introduce changes in the new law for land acquisition. Hi drastic demonetisation resulted in retardation of the growth rate. It affected the employment at lower sectors. But his measure was kept entirely to himself and the cabinet colleagues also were taken in confidence only half an hour before he was scheduled to announce it. The experience of dealing with him in the last three and half years was certainly not comforting for the Sangh establishment and he needed messages to emanate from outside. If he was allowed to run with the notion that there was not alternate to him with either the Sangh Parivar or for that matter with the politics as such, it would be difficult to keep him reigned. Installation of Togadia, his detractor by ignoring his own preference is a message.

Before that both the Sangh Parivar and the Prime Minister need to face he resurgent Congress under the young leader. He may not be dynamic young leader but he certainly can take away o=some of the selling points from his opponents. His visit to 29 temples before addressing rally in the Gujarat campaign deprived the BJP of using religion as a political weapon to garner votes.