The BSP, another national party, has also been able to increase its support base. The impressive performance of the two state parties, the MNF in Mizoram and the TRS in Telangana, and somewhat good performance of the JCCJ in Chhattisgarh reflect the regional aspirations of the people. The registered unrecognized political parties performed badly, in some cases worse than the NOTA votes indicating sharp polarization of votes only in favour or against national or state political parties. It is indicative of the bitterly fought future political battle of the 2019.

A closure look on recent legislative assembly general election results of the three states – Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan – indicates that the BJP may not get more than 23-24 seats in the Lok Sabha election of 2019 out of 62 they won in 2014. The INC may improve its tally from merely three seats to 36-37 seats.

Compared to the support base of 48.70 percent, the BJP in Chhattisgarh in the 2014 Lok Sabha General election, the has substantially lost its percentage of share of votes to 33 during the recently held Vidhan Sabha election. However, the INC’s support base has increased from 38.40 per cent in share of votes to 43 per cent in these two elections. The BSP’s share of votes is only 3.9 per cent. Its alliance partner, the JCCJ, a breakaway party from the INC , contested on its own for the first time getting 7.6 per cent of votes and 5 seats. Out of the 90, INC won 68, BJP 15, and BSP 2 seats. If this trend continues, BJP may not get more than two Lok Sabha seats out of 11 in the coming election, while the INC may win 7-8 seats. In the last Lok Sabha election the BJP and the INC had won 10 and one seats respectively. BSP-JCCJ alliance may bag one seat.

In Madhya Pradesh, BJP got 41 per cent of votes this time, a sharp fall from 54 per cent share of votes in the Lok Sabha 2014 elections. However, INC has increased its votes percentage to 40.9 per cent from 34.90 per cent during the same period. Out of 230 assembly seats, BJP has won 109 and INC 114 seats. This trend indicates that BJP may lose almost half of the seats won in the Lok Sabha election 2014. The party had got 27 out of 29 Lok Sabha seats but in the Lok Sabha election 2019, it may win around only 13-14 seats. The INC may increase its tally from only two seats to 14-15. A closure look at the results of the Vidhan Sabha elections reveals that no other political party is in a position to win any Lok Sabha seat in the state. BSP has been able to increase its vote percentage from 3.85 to 5 per cent during the period under consideration.

Rajasthan had sprang up a historic win for the BJP in the last general election giving all the 25 seats of the state. BJP’s vote percentage at that time was 55.61 per cent of the electorate with 54.90 per cent share of votes . However, in the Vidhan Sabha elections of this year, its share of votes reduced to only 38.8 per cent. It was a sharp decline in the party’s support base. In contrast, the INC got 39.3 per cent of votes as against its share of 30.40 per cent in the last general election. It was all the BJP vs INC in Rajasthan, though the BSP’s share in the valid votes polled was about 4 per cent which gave victory to their 6 candidates. In the this Vidhan Sabha election INC won 99 and the BJP 73 seats. Giving this trend the BJP is most likely loses 15-16 seats while the INC may increase its tally from zero to 12-13 seats.
Mizoram has revealed that 37.6 per cent of the voters of the state preferred MIzo National Front as against 30.2 per cent in favour of the INC. It translated into 26 seats in favour of MNF and only 5 seats in support of INC. It was a sharp decline in the support base of the INC which was 48.60 per cent in 2014. But it was also a sharp decline for MNF supported Independent’s support base of 47.89 per cent. Mizoram has only one Lok Sabha seat and therefore a fierce political battle is expected on this seat in the general election of 2019. If the present election result is the expression of the regional aspiration of the people, the next general election is also likely to be contested on this issue in which it would be very early to predict who may win.

It was also the expression of the regional aspirations in Telangana Vidhan Sabha election in which Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) got 46.9 per cent of votes and 88 seats. The INC could get only 28.4 per cent votes and 19 seats. There are 119 vidhan Sabha and 17 Lok Sabha seats. In the Lok Sabha general election 2014 TRS had won 11 seats with 33.90 per cent share of votes. INC’s share of votes was only 20.5 per cent. Though the INC has improved its share of votes, the party is far behind TRS. If the present trend continues TRS may increase its tally by one or two seats in the Lok Sabha election 2019. while INC could get only 2-3 seats.