This question is being asked here by common people as well as experts, perceiving that the configuration in the 15th Lok Sabha would not enable any of the two bigger parties to form their governments even with their present allies.
It clearly suggests that post poll scenario would usher in a new permutation and combination of the political parties in India.
As for the third front, they may win seats far less than the magic number 273 needed to form government.
According to an assessment INC may get only around 122 seats while BJP may win only about 151 seats. The rest of the 270 seat may go to the other regional parties.
In this scenario, there are several theories doing the rounds here.
Some of the political observers feel that NDA will finally form the government after realignment of the political parties. Since the BJP will emerger as the largest political party, the President will be obliged to invite them the form the government.
However, the skeptics feel otherwise. They are of the opinion that UPA will form the government on the strength of their allies and, of course, with the help of the parties from the third front and others who cannot support the BJP for their 'secular' credentials.
The third theory is that there will be a surprise Prime Minister from out of the fold of the BJP and the INC and the government will be either INC supported or the BJP supported.
In brief, its a time for political speculation, and there are as many theories as the number of experts.#
India: General election 2009
15th Lok Sabha: A likely scenario
Neither INC nor BJP may form the government, then who else?
Gyan Pathak - 25-04-2009 10:33 GMT-0000
New Delhi: News coming from all over the country point towards a situation in which neither Indian National Congress (INC) nor Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) can form the government at the Centre. Then who may form the next government?