The ruling party is now divided group pulling in different directions and their internal feuds are not hidden despite their claims of certain victory. The Prime minister seems to be intent on proving he alone can get votes and not anyone in the party. The incident of security breach that enabled NaMo to abandon his visit to Punjab is seen as pretence. But it is used to keep the Prime Minister engaged in other activities. Two leaders, top names in the Sangh list of potential successors to NaMo for five years have assumed the role of the BJP campaign in Uttar Pradesh and the campaign in Punjab has been left to the former chief minister Capt. Amrinder Singh after the BJP entered in coalition arrangements with him.

The Prime Minister had won 325 seats of 403 in 2017 with Aditya Nath assigned no role. Yet he was chosen as per desire of the Sangh chief and nominee of NaMo was not even allowed to the hall where new legislators were assembled to elect their leader. In 2018 NaMo Gave evidence of his hold on voters as Yogi was presented as chief in seven state assembly polls. The BJP was defeated in six of seven states. But till April 2021, Yogi was continued as top name in the list of successors when he left the Sangh camp and praised NaMo through newspaper ads as a great leader. But it was not enough. His approach in ruling style dispirited the Muslims, Dalits and OBCs. Jat and Gurjur, mostly farm owners were also annoyed. The Lakhimpur Kheri incident where 8 farmers were killed by young son of the union minister of home affairs by ramming the automobiles from the back was another cause to generate intense dislike for the Yogi regime. By retaining the minister in his council of ministers NaMo conveyed his feelings of dislike for Yogi.

No BJP leader is able to explain from where Yogi can gain votes if these communities walk away from it? Annoyed with Yogi regime constitute 74 percent of the electorate and the general secretary of the BSP, R N Mishra former chief Secretary of the state claimed even Brahmins have returned to the BSP after Mayavati declared her disassociation with the state politics. No BJP leader is even attempting to explain from where its vote would come unless NaMo takes intense campaigning role.

Most observers had assumed the end of the Congress in Punjab after the chief minister Amarinder Singh was forced to resign. Amarinder was hopeful of gaining rural seats after the Akali Dal was virtually forced to end its association with the BJP votes. Now Amarinder and the state BJP joined hands in a hope that the BJP continue to deliver urban seats and Amrinder would gain most of rural seats. Both forget that farmers had agitated for a year with urban commission agents who were also affected by the new farm laws and had become backbone of the agitation to organize the camp comforts, food and medical support to old farmers on the sit down agitation for a year. Yet they refused to talk to the home minister Amit Shah who had walked to them to persuade them only because his initiative was without approval of NaMo. That incident was enough to bring him the realisation that he can survive in politics only through NaMo and not as the Sangh nominee. Now he reached to support Yogi. His claims of victory of his party in several states fell flat in the past. Perhaps his assertions were merely to keep his loyal workers to strive hard.

The Punjab scenes are more confusing though general belief was the former chief minister was on a strong wicket to ensure return of the crown to his head but the overwhelmingly empty stall in the first joint rally by Amrinder Singh and BJP leaders told them to not hope much. In the prepared rally ground for two lakh attending the total audience was not even two thousand listeners. Farmers or urban dwellers have not forgotten roles of both.

The stakes are much higher for the BJP than mere power in four states with 100 Lok Sabha seats. It is the matter of existence, the last battle for survival as the political wing of the Sangh. The defeat will be a severe blow to the Sangh as the party will have to survive as the political apparatus of NaMo. But its victory in Uttar Pradesh and Punjab will be a hammer in hands of his opponents within. Akhilesh Yadav perceives it but not the Gandhi trio of the Congress.