The top BJP leaders are sure of repletion of Haryana and Bengal experiment in Uttar Pradesh too. Else the party is not too sure of staging a comeback to power for the third time in 2027. During Yogi Raj while the Dalits and poor are the object of extreme nature of upper caste social and economic oppression, the Brahmans and Rajputs, two prominent upper caste constituents are engaged in worst nature of war of attrition. These factors have posed serious challenges to the party's social coalition ahead of the 2027 assembly elections.

Sections of the Brahmin community feel sidelined in power-sharing and decision-making, leading to perceptions of neglect under the current administration, which they perceive as favouring Rajputs. Growing rift between BJP legislators from these two dominant upper-caste groups, with separate meetings being held, has exposed internal fault lines. There is frustration among upper-caste leaders regarding the party’s increased focus on OBC communities, leading to feelings that backward communities are taking a larger share of power.

The RSS has been actively holding coordination meetings to bridge these gaps and unify the upper-caste and OBC support base under a broader "Hindu" umbrella but its efforts have failed to yield a positive response. On the contrary the OBC and poor are distancing from the BJP. They allege on the face the upper caste leaders promise their support to the Dalits and poor, but in reality they patronise upper caste repression on them. Based on National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) data and parliamentary reports, UP has consistently recorded the highest number of registered cases of atrocities against Dalits between 2022 and 2024, with high figures persisting into 2025. In 2022: 15,368 cases were registered, representing a 16% increase from 2021. In 2023: 15,130 cases were registered, keeping UP at the top of the list nationally.

Reports highlight that an average of over 20-36 cases of Dalit atrocities are registered daily in Uttar Pradesh. In 2023, UP reported 173 out of 180 total nationwide cases of Scheduled Castes being denied access to public spaces, highlighting severe social discrimination. In response to the backlash over the UGC rules, the BJP is seeking to manage the fallout to avoid losing its traditional voter base. The conflict is a critical development, as upper-caste groups have historically been crucial vote bank for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh since the 1990

The Uttar Pradesh BJP is facing significant internal and external challenges. The party is steering leadership changes, internal disagreements, and intense competition from the opposition. The party is undergoing a transition. With the appointment of new state president, Pankaj Chaudhary it was expected that he would provide a new direction and define new set of functioning. But it does not appear to happen. Still there is a pronounced lack of coordination between the organization and Yogi Adityanath's government. The party inducted OBC and Dalits as the chiefs of the district units; new team reflects a mix of OBC (35), General (51, including 24 Brahmins and 14 Thakurs), and SC (9) representatives, but it has failed to entice the dalits and OBCs.

BJP is struggling to re-solidify its support among OBCs and Dalits, with the Samajwadi Party's PDA (Picchde, Dalit, Alpsankhyak) pitch denting its previous dominance. There are reports of diminishing enthusiasm among traditional supporters in some regions, particularly western UP. Samajwadi Party, chief Akhilesh Yadav, has alleged that the BJP is facing a "power struggle" and that government effectiveness is suffering due to these issues. The party is focusing heavily on non-Yadav OBCs and Dalits to counter the opposition's, particularly SP's, narrative. The UP BJP is caught between the need for a major organizational overhaul and maintaining unity to avoid further internal friction as it prepares for the crucial 2027 Assembly polls.

BJP in Uttar Pradesh is actively redefining its identity ahead of the 2027 assembly elections, transitioning from a reliance on pure Hindutva toward a "rainbow coalition" aimed at balancing caste equations. The strategy involves empowering OBC and Dalit leaders, expanding the cabinet to 60 members, and targeting women voters, while strengthening regional leadership

The BJP in Uttar Pradesh is navigating a complex, multi-pronged strategy rather than choosing a single path of reconciliation or aggression. Following a less-than-expected performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the party is re-engineering its approach for the 2027 assembly elections by combining internal restructuring, social engineering, and targeted governance corrections. This caste clash has added to the plight of the party which has already been suffering with upper-caste intra feud. There have been reports of friction between the state organization and the government, with some leaders mentioning an imbalance between power and the organization. The leadership is attempting to bridge this gap through better coordination.

Narendra Modi and Amit Shah perceive of a fierce electoral battle in UP, as Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh are determined to take the state out of the grip of saffron ecosystem. They apprehend that if the situation is allowed to continue RSS and BJP will completely shatter the social and cultural fabric of the state. The SP successfully attracted sections of OBC and SC voters who previously supported the BJP, particularly in eastern Uttar Pradesh, threatening the BJP's social engineering efforts. An internal assessment highlighted a "lack of enthusiasm among party workers". The BJP government in Uttar Pradesh has engaged in extensive outreach to the poor and aimed to strengthen them through a combination of direct welfare, structural, and grassroots initiatives. It claimed that nearly 60 million (5.94 to 6 crore) people have been lifted out of multidimensional poverty between 2017 and 2025, driven by targeted welfare delivery.

Recent political analysis indicates the BJP in Uttar Pradesh faced significant challenges in countering the opposition's, particularly the Samajwadi Party's (SP) and INDIA bloc's, focus on issues surrounding social justice and constitution preservation in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. After Rahul’s Bharat Jodo Yatra a significant per cent of Dalits and EBCs have shifted towards the Congress and SP who effectively campaigned on issues of "social justice" and the need to protect the constitution, targeting the "PDA" community (Pichde-Backward, Dalits, Alpsankhyaks-Minorities). The BJP is facing a challenging political landscape in Uttar Pradesh, with the opposition focusing on the 2027 assembly polls to further the "social justice" agenda. (IPA Service)