Poll results came as a shock to Modi baiters who view that BJP can thrive only by evoking emotive issues like Hindutva and Ram Mandir. The party with its support base among the upper caste, mainly Bhramins and Baniyas cannot make any substantial dent among the dalits, tribals, OBCs and the Muslims. Modi has proved them wrong.
Effective social engineering done by Modi and his chief campaigner for UP Amit Shah enabled the party to mobile support irrespective of caste and religion barriers to work out the magic. The caste politics of Mayawati-led BSP, Mulayam Singh led Samajwadi Party, Lalu Prasad Yadav led RJD, Nitish Kumar’s JDU and Ajit Singh led RLD had to concede defeat before Modi tsunami.
Against well entrenched caste politics in the crucial state, Uttar Pradesh which has a total of 80 Lok Sabha seats, Modi’s party garnered as many as 71 seats, surpassing its earlier record of 57 seats in 1998 polls, reducing the ruling party in the state, Samajwadi Party which banked on Yadav, Muslim votes to five seats from its tally of 23 in 2009 polls. All the five seats won by the Samajwadi Party have gone to the party’s first family.
Both the BSP which banked on dalit, Muslim votes and RLD which relied on Jat, Muslim votes scored a duck each. The Congress was reduced from 21 seats in 2009 polls to only two in the recent polls – Congress President Sonia Gandhi and Vice President Rahul Gandhi are the only winners.
BJP could encash upon the disenchantment of non-Yadav OBCs and non-Jatav dalits under Samajwadi Party and BSP regimes. BJP was also successful in owing a section of dalit Muslims and Shias. BJP’s alliance with Apna Dal could help to get the support of the Kurmis.
BJP has the record of gaining 50 plus seats from in UP in three consecutive polls in 1991, 1996 and 1998 riding on Ram Mandir and Hindutva wave, highest being 57 in 1998. But in 1999 when the party won a maximum of 182 seats in Lok Sabha, its count from UP declined to 29. However, in 2014 the party did not evoke Hindutva or Ram Mandir issue but insisted on development plank citing Gujarat model of development that clicked the imagination of the people.
In Bihar, BJP alone could wrest 22 out of 40 seats restricting the RJD-NCP-Congress alliance to 7. Six seats won by Lok Jansakti Party and 3 seats won by Rashtriya Lok Samta Party added to BJP’s kitty.
It is not the Modi wave, but actually the Modi tsunami that shattered over a century old Congress party and humbled its score to below 50, precisely at 44 in the 2014 general elections to the 543-member Lok Sabha, the Lower House of the Indian Parliament. Unfortunately, Congress in its final tally will be falling short of 10% of the 543 directly elected seats in the Lok Sabha and, therefore, the party’s leader in the House will be denied the Cabinet rank under the Salary and Allowances of the Leader of Opposition in Parliament Act, 1977. This is pathetic for the party that ruled the country for several years.
The Congress party which attained the highest score ever with 404 seats and 49.01% voting share in 1984 polls fell to a lowest ebb with 19.6% votes in the recent polls. The rival Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led by its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi recorded its historic win with 282 seats and 31.5% votes in 2014 polls.
The Gujarat Chief Minister Modi’s magic wand lifted the BJP’s achievement of 182 seats in 1999 polls that bounced back the party’s tall personality Atal Bihari Vajpayee as Prime Minister of the NDA coalition to a new high of 282 seats in the recent polls. This is the first time since Independence that a non-Congress party has won a massive majority on its own. Also since 1984 it is the only political party to won an absolute majority on its own.
Modi, who has webbed a 25-party pre-poll alliance, has, however, assured to work together with his alliance partners. BJP and its alliance partners that constitutes the NDA has now the strength of 336.
Modi’s magic has worked throughout the length and breadth of the country, winning seats virgin areas. In Jammu & Kashmir in the north, BJP and its alliance partner won 3 each, cornering all the 6 seats. In Uttarakhand BJP bagged all the 5 seats and in Himachal Pradesh it cornered all the 4 seats.
In Tamil Nadu in the south, BJP and its alliance partner PMK won one seat each, despite the sweep of AIADMK. In Puducherry, BJP’s alliance partner, All India NR Congress bagged the sole seat. In Andhra Pradesh, BJP and its alliance partner, TDP won 19 out of 42 seats. In Karnataka, BJP won 17 out of 28 seats.
In Rajasthan in the west, the BJP bagged all the 25 seats. Also in Gujarat, the home of the prime ministerial candidate Modi, the party got all the 26 seats. In Maharashtra out of 48 seats, the party won 23 seats while its alliance partner Shiv Sena won 18 seats.
In Assam in the northeast, BJP garnered 7 out of 14 seats. Among the eastern states BJP got two seats in West Bengal and one seat in Odisha, despite the strong presence of state parties like Trinamool Congress and Biju Janata Dal.
In central Indian states of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh BJP’s victory is no less spectacular. It won 27 out of 29 seats in MP and 10 out of 11 seats in Chhattisgarh.
In the far flung islands of Andaman and Nicobar, BJP won the sole seat.
Modi’s magic has worked through the length and breadth of the country making BJP a pan-India party. It is high time for Modi baiters to recognise the effect of Modi tsunami in their own interest at least.
India
BJP baiters need to recognise Modi tsunami
ASHOK B SHARMA - 2014-05-17 11:54
BJP’s landslide victory in 2014 elections has come as a surprise to those analysts and poll predictors who failed to understand and appreciate Modi politiks and statecraft and development agenda. The recent polls has shown how elections can be won if dissenting voices at grassroots level are given a patient hearing.