INDIA’S GROWING TRADE DEFICIT AND DEBT BURDEN ARE A MATTER OF CONCERN
ECONOMY MAY NOT BE ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUCH DEBT GROWTH IN THE LONG RUN
2023-05-22 16:11
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The government and the Reserve Bank may disagree, but the way the country’s trade deficits and external debt are rising it may be a matter of time before India goes for another IMF-World Bank bail out. The current indicators on the two counts are hardly comfortable. Take the debt position first. The total debt of the Indian government since the country’s independence till 2014, when the Modi government came to power, was Rs.55 lakh crore. Now, between 2014 and 2023, the total debt has gone up to Rs.155 lakh crore. The per capita debt in this short period under the Modi government increased from Rs.43,000 to Rs.1,09,000. In real terms, India’s per capita net national income (NNI), increased by only about 35 percent from Rs.72,805 in 2014-15 to Rs.98,118 in 2022-23. NNI is an indicator of the total economic activity in a country as defined by the OECD.